Algo trading thrives on asymmetry—small losses pave the way for rare, explosive wins. Drawing from Nassim Taleb’s antifragile principles, this journal captures my mindset reset ahead of tomorrow’s live deployment of high-target intraday strategies on Tradetron, now free of execution glitches.
Recent Performance Wins
Over the last month, strategies targeting ₹2000, ₹3000, and 940/950/955 strategies delivered profits consistently across 11 sessions, even amid repair continuous bugs and data feed hiccups. Post-fixes, these post-0940 entry setups should generate even better returns . Subscriber accounts added subtle pressure, but empirical results affirm the edge.
Fat Tail Mindset Shift
Taleb’s fat tail theory reminds us: 80-90% of profits stem from 10-20% of trades in Extremistan markets, where black swans lurk. Ditching daily profit hopes neutralizes drawdown trauma—tomorrow is just data, not destiny. This barbell approach (safe core + convex bets) builds resilience, echoing past successes when I leaned into long-run math over short-term noise.
Tomorrow’s Deployment Plan
Live: Roll out 2000/3000 tgt and 940-955 variants on Dhan-Tradetron, entering after 0940 for 1459 exits, with continuous repair for multi-leg handling.no magical day expected.
Market Setup for Dec 30
Nifty closed at ~26,042 (-0.38%), with supports at 25,909/25,830 and resistance at 26,166/26,245 amid year-end profit booking. Bank Nifty eyes 27,266 support; low VIX favors option convexity, DII buying at ₹62k MTD cushions dips. Watch IIP data and FII flows for volatility spikes suiting fat-tail capture.
Forward Tracking
Log one-month live data to quantify tail contributions, pitting SL vs. no-SL empirically for survival. Journal pre/post peace reinforces antifragility—profits follow endurance. Deploy, observe, evolve.
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