Oct 7, 2026 · @Madhu Babu Kamepalli
An intraday algo in one stock, ONGC, has made ₹12,554 net on ₹25,000 of margin in 71 live trading days on Tradetron. Every figure here comes from the live deployment’s own Tradetron live deployment, pulled on the morning of 7 October 2026.
The headline numbers
Tradetron grades the deployment A, “Robust”, across the five calendar months traded. The record also includes a three-week slide in July, and this post covers that in the same detail as the gains.
Month by month
29 trades
38 trades
35 trades
35 trades
7 trades
Four of the five months were positive. June was the best at ₹4,719 (18.9%) and July the worst at −₹564 (−2.3%). The average month made ₹2,511, or 10% of capital.
October covers only its first few sessions, so its 7.2% is a partial month. Measured over the 71 days actually elapsed, a little over four months, the pace works out to about 12% a month. All returns here are simple returns on a fixed ₹25,000, with no compounding.
Profitable while the stock fell
ONGC itself lost ground over these months. The report’s price chart shows the stock near ₹267 in early June and in the low ₹220s in early October, roughly 16% lower.
The strategy finished the same stretch at its highest equity yet. It did so with light activity: 144 fills in all, 74 buys and 70 sells, about two trades a day.
Which weekdays paid
Thursday alone earned ₹7,766, about 62% of the net profit, and Wednesday is the only losing weekday at −₹3,847. Wednesday also holds the worst single day of the record (−₹2,034), while Monday holds the best (₹2,619).
Each weekday has fewer than 20 sessions behind it, so this is an observation to keep watching, not a rule to trade on.
Where the edge comes from
The edge is on both sides: winning days are bigger than losing days, and there are more of them. Of the 71 trading days, 40 ended up and 31 down, a 56.3% win rate.
A handful of strong sessions matter here. The five best days account for 36% of all profits, and the best single day made ₹2,619, which is 10.5% of capital. The longest winning streak was five days and the longest losing streak four.
The hard part: drawdowns
The worst fall was 12.3%. Equity dropped ₹3,656 from its peak at the start of July to a low on 22 July, and the whole episode lasted 18 trading days.
| # | Depth | % of peak | Started | Low point | Length | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | −₹3,656 | −12.3% | 1 Jul 2026 | 22 Jul 2026 | 18 days | Recovered |
| 2 | −₹2,487 | −9.4% | 8 Jun 2026 | 10 Jun 2026 | 8 days | Recovered |
| 3 | −₹2,257 | −6.8% | 28 Aug 2026 | 8 Sep 2026 | 10 days | Recovered |
| 4 | −₹1,970 | −6.5% | 31 Jul 2026 | 5 Aug 2026 | 6 days | Recovered |
| 5 | −₹1,031 | −3.8% | 19 Jun 2026 | 23 Jun 2026 | 4 days | Recovered |
All five have recovered. Even so, on ₹25,000 the July slide meant watching more than ₹3,600 of June’s profit disappear in three weeks. One day in twenty has lost ₹1,044 or more, and the worst 5% of days averaged a ₹1,250 loss.
Return per unit of risk
The risk-adjusted ratios are strong for a live record, all computed net of costs on daily marked-to-market P&L.
| Ratio | Value | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe (annualised) | 3.1 | Return per unit of total volatility |
| Sortino (annualised) | 5.76 | Return per unit of downside volatility only |
| Calmar | 18.05 | Annualised return divided by the worst drawdown |
| Profit factor | 1.84 | ₹1.84 earned for every ₹1 lost |
| Recovery factor | 3.43 | Net profit is 3.43 times the worst drawdown |
| Volatility (annualised) | 44.8% | Daily swings are large relative to capital |
| Probability the edge is real | 97% | Tradetron’s estimate that the result is not chance |
The 63-day rolling Sharpe has stayed between roughly 2 and 3.3 since it first printed, so the result is not resting on one good stretch.
Tradetron also annualises the result to a 222% CAGR. That figure stretches 127 days into a full year, so read it as the pace so far, not a forecast. The Calmar ratio is built on the same annualised number.
What “net of costs” covers
Charges took 16% of gross profit. The strategy made ₹14,984 before costs; estimated statutory and exchange charges of ₹2,431 leave the ₹12,554 reported throughout this post.
Those charges are priced fill by fill across all 144 fills and ₹1.38 crore of turnover, at about ₹16.88 a fill:
- Exchange fee: 0.00297% of turnover
- STT: 0.025% on the sell side
- Stamp duty: 0.003% on the buy side
The turnover also shows how the capital is used. The average fill was about ₹96,000, close to four times the ₹25,000 margin, so the 50.21% is a return on margin earned with intraday leverage.
What this record does not prove
Four months of live results is evidence, not proof. Four limits are worth stating plainly:
- It is a short record. 71 trading days in one stock from one deployment. Tradetron’s 12-month rolling statistics unlock only after 13 months of history.
- Timing mattered. Someone who started at the beginning of July would have been down roughly ₹3,600 within three weeks, and July finished slightly negative.
- The swings are large. Annualised volatility is 44.8%. The worst day lost ₹2,034, or 8.1% of capital, which is 4.2 times the average losing day.
- One market phase. ONGC fell or drifted for most of the period. A long rally has not been tested live yet.
Tradetron’s report shows no major red flags on the data so far.
See it live
The strategy is listed publicly on the Tradetron marketplace, and its live trades can be checked independently.
| Strategy page | ONGC equity intraday |
| Live trade share code | share-live-trade-29837826 |
| Minimum capital | ₹25,000 |
| Subscribers | 9 |
The figures in this post are before any subscription fee or platform plan costs of your own.
Risk disclosure
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