529 Crude Oil Intraday Algo: 35.74% Net on ₹7,00,000 in 182 Live Trading Days

Oct 7, 2026 · @Madhu Babu Kamepalli

An intraday options algo on MCX Crude Oil has made ₹2,50,198 net on ₹7,00,000 of margin since it went live on 4 November 2025. That is 35.74% in 182 trading days after estimated statutory charges, with eleven of twelve calendar months positive and a worst fall of 5.18% from peak. Every figure here comes from the Tradetron report of one live deployment, pulled on 7 October 2026; the last session in it is 1 October.

The strategy is listed on Tradetron as “529 crudeoil Red Crush Intraday options”, tagged ShortVol, Directional and Positional. A mini-lot version of the same logic runs on ₹70,000 of margin, and its report is here.

The headline numbers

Tradetron grades the deployment A, “Robust”. The record also includes three months that made almost nothing, one day that lost 3.6% of capital, and stretches when this deployment was not trading. This post covers those in the same detail as the gains.

Month by month

Eleven of the twelve calendar months were positive. June 2026 was the best at ₹58,666 (8.4%), with March close behind at 8.2%. The only negative month is October 2026, which is one session that lost ₹2,726 (−0.4%).

Tradetron’s average month is ₹20,850, or 3% of capital. By calendar year the split is 4.5% for the two months of 2025 and 31.2% for 2026 to date. All returns here are simple returns on a fixed ₹7,00,000, with no compounding.

Three months did most of the work

The monthly record is positive almost throughout, but it is lumpy. March, June and August made about ₹1.64 lakh between them, roughly two-thirds of the net profit. January, February and July added less than ₹5,000 combined. The figures above are sums of rounded monthly returns, so with October’s −0.4% they come to a shade more than the 35.74% total.

Timing mattered. The account finished 2025 up 4.5% and was still at about 4.8% at the end of February, two months later. March then made 8.2% on its own, and it held both the best day of the record and the worst.

Which weekdays paid

Monday and Tuesday earned ₹1,82,620 between them, about 73% of the net profit. All five weekdays are positive, though Thursday’s 38 sessions added only ₹3,176. Monday holds the best single day of the record (₹25,867) and Tuesday the worst (−₹25,008).

Each weekday has 36 to 43 sessions behind it. That is more than most live records offer, and still not enough to treat as a rule.

Where the edge comes from

Winning days are about 14% bigger than losing days, and there are far more of them. Of the 182 trading days, 115 ended up and 67 down, a 63.2% win rate. Tradetron’s report counts 194 days; the other 12 were flat, with no profit or loss. Together that gives a profit factor of 1.95, or ₹1.95 earned for every ₹1 lost.

The profit is spread fairly widely across days. The median day made ₹760, and the five best days account for 21% of all the profit made on winning days. The best single day, Monday 23 March, made ₹25,867, which is 3.7% of capital and about 10% of the net result. The longest winning streak was nine days and the longest losing streak six. Activity is steady: 875 fills, about 4.7 on a trading day.

How much of the year it covers

This deployment did not trade on every market day. The report’s calendar shows 194 days between 4 November 2025 and 1 October 2026, a span with 238 weekdays, a few of them market holidays. The longest gaps were 23 January to 6 February, 26 June to 8 July, and 4 to 12 May. Nothing is recorded after 1 October, although the report was pulled on the 7th.

So the results are for the days this deployment ran. One that ran every day could have done better or worse, and the report cannot say which.

The hard part: drawdowns

The worst fall was 5.18%. Equity peaked on 26 March with about ₹1.07 lakh of profit banked, then dropped ₹41,830 over the next eight trading days, reaching its low on 7 April. That gave back about 39% of everything made to that point. The account sat at that low until 10 April, then recovered in five sessions and set a new high on 17 April, so the whole episode lasted 15 trading days.

Four of the five have recovered. The fourth is the current one: the account peaked on 16 September, fell ₹18,717 to a low on 24 September, and at the last session was ₹6,264 below that peak, nine trading days in. The longest wait for a new high in the whole record is the 15 trading days of the worst drawdown.

Losing days look capped. On four of the five weekdays the worst day is between ₹10,290 and ₹10,760, about 1.5% of capital, which is what a daily loss limit would look like. One day went well past it: Tuesday 10 March lost ₹25,008, which is 3.6% of capital and 6.4 times the average losing day. It came the session after a gain of about ₹22,000. Across the record, one day in twenty has lost ₹9,491 or more, and the worst 5% of days averaged an ₹11,835 loss.

Return per unit of risk

The risk-adjusted ratios are strong for a live record, all computed net of costs on daily marked-to-market P&L.

The 63-day rolling Sharpe has stayed above 1 for the whole record. Its low was about 1.25 in mid-April, just after the worst drawdown. It peaked near 6.7 in mid-September and is about 4.2 now.

Tradetron annualises the result to a 39.9% CAGR over 332 days. With close to a full year behind it, that figure is stretched far less than it would be on a short record. The Calmar ratio is built on the same number.

Full size and mini, side by side

The 529 Crude Oil Mini strategy runs the same logic on ₹70,000 and has been live since June. Here are the two reports next to each other, both as on 7 October 2026.

Between 16 June and 1 October there were 61 evenings on which both deployments traded. On the 57 of those where both had a result, they finished on the same side of zero 53 times. Their biggest days line up as well: 4 August and 29 September were strong for both, and 17 July and 24 September were among the worst for both. That is what you would expect from one logic run at two sizes.

The amounts do not move in exact proportion, though. Across those 61 evenings the mini made about 21% on its ₹70,000 and this deployment about 12% on its ₹7,00,000. These day-by-day comparisons are read off the equity curves in the two reports, so treat them as close estimates. The mini also has under four months behind it, so its smaller drawdown is not yet a like-for-like comparison.

What “net of costs” covers

Charges took 9% of gross profit. The strategy made ₹2,73,530 before costs; estimated statutory and exchange charges of ₹23,332 leave the ₹2,50,198 reported throughout this post.

Those charges are priced fill by fill on ₹2.72 crore of turnover, about ₹28.66 a fill, at the MCX commodity-options rates:

• Exchange fee: 0.05% of turnover
• CTT: 0.05% on the sell side
• Stamp duty: 0.003% on the buy side

What this record does not prove

Eleven months of live results is solid evidence, and still not proof. Six limits are worth stating plainly:

Tradetron’s report shows no major red flags on the data so far.

See it live

The strategy is listed publicly on the Tradetron marketplace, and its live trades can be checked independently.

The figures in this post are before any subscription fee or platform plan costs of your own. Starting smaller? The 529 Crude Oil Mini report covers the same logic on ₹70,000.

Risk disclosure