Oct 7, 2026 · @Madhu Babu Kamepalli
An options algo on MCX Crude Oil Mini that trades the evening session has made ₹13,316 net on ₹70,000 of margin since it went live on 16 June 2026. That is 19.02% in 78 trading days after estimated statutory charges, and the deepest fall from a peak along the way was 2.33%. Every figure here comes from the Tradetron report of one live deployment, pulled on 7 October 2026; the record runs to the close of 6 October.
The strategy is listed on Tradetron as “529 Crudeoil Mini Intraday options evening NRML universal exit 2320”, tagged EarnTheta, ShortVol, Directional and Positional. It is the mini-lot version of the 529 Crude Oil strategy, which runs on ₹7,00,000 of margin: the same core logic at one-tenth of the capital.
The headline numbers
Tradetron grades the deployment A, “Robust”. The record is also less than four months long, and close to a third of the net profit came from one evening. This post covers both in the same detail as the gains.
Month by month
39 trades
110 trades
88 trades
100 trades
14 trades
Four of the five calendar months were positive. August was the best at ₹6,702 (9.6%), and September followed with about ₹5,220 (7.5%). October is the only negative month so far, down ₹1,200 (−1.7%) after four sessions.
Tradetron’s average month is ₹2,663, or 3.8% of capital, spread across five calendar months of which two are partial. Measured over the 113 days actually elapsed, a little under four months, the pace works out to about 5.1% a month. All returns here are simple returns on a fixed ₹70,000, with no compounding.
A quiet start, then two strong months
The return did not build evenly. For the first seven weeks the account went almost nowhere: at the end of July it was up about ₹2,600, and it had spent 18 trading days of that month below its early-July high. Then came 13 winning days in a row, from 27 July to 12 August, and the account crossed 10% on 10 August.
Timing made a large difference to what a subscriber would have seen. Someone who joined on day one waited until 4 August, the 36th session, to be up 5%. Someone who joined at the start of August made about 17% in the next two months.
Which weekdays paid
16 sessions
17 sessions
16 sessions
16 sessions
16 sessions
Tuesday earned ₹9,755, about 73% of the net profit. Two evenings explain most of that: Tuesday 29 September made ₹4,218 and Tuesday 4 August made about ₹2,530. Take those two out and Tuesday’s other 15 sessions made about ₹3,000, still a little ahead of Wednesday’s ₹2,712. Monday is the only losing weekday at −₹240, and Thursday and Friday added about ₹1,090 between them.
Each weekday has only 16 or 17 sessions behind it, so this is an observation to keep watching, not a rule to trade on.
Where the edge comes from
The edge sits on both sides: winning days are about a quarter bigger than losing days, and there are nearly twice as many of them. Of the 78 trading days, 50 ended up and 28 down, a 64.1% win rate. Tradetron’s report counts 81 days in the period; the other three, 26 June, 14 September and 2 October, were market holidays that show no profit or loss. Together that gives a profit factor of 2.26, or ₹2.26 earned for every ₹1 lost.
The typical day is small. The median day made ₹123, and the five best days account for 42% of all the profit made on winning days. The best single day, Tuesday 29 September, made ₹4,218, which is 6% of capital and equal to about 32% of the whole net result. The longest winning streak was 13 days and the longest losing streak four. Activity is steady: 353 fills, about 4.5 on a trading day.
The hard part: drawdowns
The worst fall was 2.33%. Equity peaked on 16 September with about ₹11,930 of profit banked, then dropped ₹1,906 to a low on 24 September, six trading days later. One evening repaired it: the ₹4,218 gain on 29 September took the account straight to a new high, so the whole episode lasted eight trading days.
| # | Depth | % of peak | Started | Low point | Length | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | −₹1,906 | −2.3% | 17 Sep 2026 | 24 Sep 2026 | 8 days | Recovered |
| 2 | −₹1,817 | −2.1% | 30 Sep 2026 | 5 Oct 2026 | 5 days | Ongoing |
| 3 | −₹1,621 | −2.3% | 6 Jul 2026 | 21 Jul 2026 | 18 days | Recovered |
| 4 | −₹1,000 | −1.4% | 17 Jun 2026 | 17 Jun 2026 | 6 days | Recovered |
| 5 | −₹917 | −1.2% | 13 Aug 2026 | 17 Aug 2026 | 9 days | Recovered |
Four of the five have recovered. The second is the current one: the account is ₹1,537 below its 29 September peak, five trading days into the dip. The longest wait came early. From 6 July the account spent 18 trading days below its previous high, and with only about ₹1,830 of profit banked at that point, the ₹1,621 fall took back almost 90% of it before the recovery began.
Bad days have been small on ₹70,000. One day in twenty has lost ₹732 or more, and the worst 5% of days averaged an ₹861 loss. The worst single day, Wednesday 17 June, was the deployment’s second session: it lost ₹1,000, which is 1.4% of capital and 2.6 times the average losing day.
Return per unit of risk
The risk-adjusted ratios are high, all computed net of costs on daily marked-to-market P&L. They also rest on 81 days of data, which is a short window for ratios like these.
| Ratio | Value | What it says |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe (annualised) | 3.8 | Return per unit of total volatility |
| Sortino (annualised) | 9.44 | Return per unit of downside volatility only |
| Calmar | 32.45 | Annualised return divided by the worst drawdown |
| Profit factor | 2.26 | ₹2.26 earned for every ₹1 lost |
| Recovery factor | 6.99 | Net profit is about 7 times the worst drawdown |
| Volatility (annualised) | 15.56% | How much daily results swing, scaled to a year |
| Probability the edge is real | 99% | Tradetron’s estimate that the result is not chance |
Tradetron annualises the result to a 75.5% CAGR. That figure stretches 113 days into a full year, so read it as the pace so far, not a forecast. The Calmar ratio of 32.45 divides that annualised number by a 2.33% drawdown, so it is flattered twice: by a short record and by a worst fall that has so far been mild.
Mini and full size, side by side
The full-size 529 Crude Oil strategy has an eleven-month record on ₹7,00,000. Here are the two reports next to each other, both as on 7 October 2026.
| 529 Crude Oil Mini | 529 Crude Oil | |
|---|---|---|
| Margin | ₹70,000 | ₹7,00,000 |
| Record | 16 Jun to 6 Oct 2026 | 4 Nov 2025 to 1 Oct 2026 |
| Trading days with a result | 78 | 182 |
| Net P&L | ₹13,316 (19.02%) | ₹2,50,198 (35.74%) |
| Average month (Tradetron) | 3.8% | 3% |
| Worst drawdown | 2.33% | 5.18% |
| Worst single day | −1.4% of capital | −3.6% of capital |
| Winning days | 64.1% | 63.2% |
| Profit factor | 2.26 | 1.95 |
| Sharpe (annualised) | 3.8 | 3.37 |
Between 16 June and 1 October there were 61 evenings on which both deployments traded. On the 57 of those where both had a result, they finished on the same side of zero 53 times. Their biggest days line up as well: 4 August and 29 September were strong for both, and 17 July and 24 September were among the worst for both. That is what you would expect from one logic run at two sizes.
The amounts do not move in exact proportion, though. Across those 61 evenings the mini made about 21% on its ₹70,000 and the full-size deployment about 12% on its ₹7,00,000. These day-by-day comparisons are read off the equity curves in the two reports, so treat them as close estimates.
The longer record is the better guide to the bad days. The full-size version’s worst day cost 3.6% of capital and its worst drawdown was 5.18%, both more than double anything the mini has shown in its first four months.
What “net of costs” covers
Charges took 8% of gross profit. The strategy made ₹14,495 before costs; estimated statutory and exchange charges of ₹1,179 leave the ₹13,316 reported throughout this post.
Those charges are priced fill by fill on ₹13.74 lakh of turnover, about ₹3.37 a fill, at the MCX commodity-options rates:
- Exchange fee: 0.05% of turnover
- CTT: 0.05% on the sell side
- Stamp duty: 0.003% on the buy side
What this record does not prove
Under four months of live results is evidence, not proof. Five limits are worth stating plainly:
- It is a short record in one market. 78 trading days in MCX Crude Oil Mini options, from one deployment. Tradetron’s 12-month rolling statistics unlock only after 13 months of history.
- One evening carries a lot. 29 September made ₹4,218, about 32% of the net result. With 4 August, two evenings account for about half of it.
- Two months did most of the work. August and September produced about 90% of the net profit; the first seven weeks added 3.7%.
- It is below its peak right now. The account is ₹1,537 under its 29 September high, and October is negative so far.
- It sells volatility. Short-volatility strategies can lose quickly when a market moves sharply. The mini’s worst day so far is 1.4% of capital; the full-size version has had a 3.6% day.
Tradetron’s report shows no major red flags on the data so far.
See it live
The strategy is listed publicly on the Tradetron marketplace, and its live trades can be checked independently.
| Strategy page | 529 Crudeoil Mini Intraday options evening NRML universal exit 2320 |
| Live trade share code | share-live-trade-30061002 |
| Exchange | MCX |
| Session | Evening session, intraday |
| Margin in this report | ₹70,000 |
| Subscribers | 9 |
The figures in this post are before any subscription fee or platform plan costs of your own. Trading with larger capital? The 529 Crude Oil report covers the full-size version on ₹7,00,000.
Risk disclosure
Discover more from Retail Algo Trader
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.