529 Crude Oil Mini Evening Algo: 19.02% Net on ₹70,000 in 78 Live Trading Days

Oct 7, 2026 · @Madhu Babu Kamepalli

MCX Crude Oil Mini · evening session · live on Tradetron
19.02% net
₹13,316 after charges on ₹70,000 of margin, across 78 live trading days
16 Jun 2026 · ₹06 Oct 2026 · ₹13,316 net
Grade A · RobustWorst fall 2.33%Report of 7 Oct 2026

An options algo on MCX Crude Oil Mini that trades the evening session has made ₹13,316 net on ₹70,000 of margin since it went live on 16 June 2026. That is 19.02% in 78 trading days after estimated statutory charges, and the deepest fall from a peak along the way was 2.33%. Every figure here comes from the Tradetron report of one live deployment, pulled on 7 October 2026; the record runs to the close of 6 October.

The strategy is listed on Tradetron as “529 Crudeoil Mini Intraday options evening NRML universal exit 2320”, tagged EarnTheta, ShortVol, Directional and Positional. It is the mini-lot version of the 529 Crude Oil strategy, which runs on ₹7,00,000 of margin: the same core logic at one-tenth of the capital.

The headline numbers

Net P&L
₹13,316
19.02% on ₹70,000 margin
CAGR (annualised)
75.5%
over 113 days
Max drawdown
2.33%
₹1,906 from peak equity
Calmar ratio
32.45
CAGR ÷ max drawdown
Sharpe (annualised)
3.8
Sortino 9.44
Win rate (days)
64.1%
50 winning / 28 losing days
Profit factor
2.26
gross profit ÷ gross loss
Current drawdown
−1.8%
₹1,537 below the 29 Sep peak

Tradetron grades the deployment A, “Robust”. The record is also less than four months long, and close to a third of the net profit came from one evening. This post covers both in the same detail as the gains.

Month by month

Net return on ₹70,000, by month
Jun 2026
39 trades
+2.1%
Jul 2026
110 trades
+1.6%
Aug 2026
88 trades
+9.6%
Sep 2026
100 trades
+7.5%
Oct 2026
14 trades
−1.7%
Green = profit, red = loss. June 2026 starts on the 16th and October 2026 has four sessions, so both are partial months.

Four of the five calendar months were positive. August was the best at ₹6,702 (9.6%), and September followed with about ₹5,220 (7.5%). October is the only negative month so far, down ₹1,200 (−1.7%) after four sessions.

Tradetron’s average month is ₹2,663, or 3.8% of capital, spread across five calendar months of which two are partial. Measured over the 113 days actually elapsed, a little under four months, the pace works out to about 5.1% a month. All returns here are simple returns on a fixed ₹70,000, with no compounding.

A quiet start, then two strong months

16 June to 31 July
+3.7%
about ₹2,600 in 34 sessions
August and September
+17.0%
about ₹11,920 in 43 sessions
October so far
−1.7%
₹1,200 lost in 4 sessions

The return did not build evenly. For the first seven weeks the account went almost nowhere: at the end of July it was up about ₹2,600, and it had spent 18 trading days of that month below its early-July high. Then came 13 winning days in a row, from 27 July to 12 August, and the account crossed 10% on 10 August.

Timing made a large difference to what a subscriber would have seen. Someone who joined on day one waited until 4 August, the 36th session, to be up 5%. Someone who joined at the start of August made about 17% in the next two months.

Which weekdays paid

Net P&L by day of the week
Monday
16 sessions
−₹240
Tuesday
17 sessions
₹9,755
Wednesday
16 sessions
₹2,712
Thursday
16 sessions
₹581
Friday
16 sessions
₹508

Tuesday earned ₹9,755, about 73% of the net profit. Two evenings explain most of that: Tuesday 29 September made ₹4,218 and Tuesday 4 August made about ₹2,530. Take those two out and Tuesday’s other 15 sessions made about ₹3,000, still a little ahead of Wednesday’s ₹2,712. Monday is the only losing weekday at −₹240, and Thursday and Friday added about ₹1,090 between them.

Each weekday has only 16 or 17 sessions behind it, so this is an observation to keep watching, not a rule to trade on.

Where the edge comes from

Average winning day
₹478
0.7% of capital · 50 days
Average losing day
−₹378
0.5% of capital · 28 days
Average day
₹164
0.23% of capital · all 81 days

The edge sits on both sides: winning days are about a quarter bigger than losing days, and there are nearly twice as many of them. Of the 78 trading days, 50 ended up and 28 down, a 64.1% win rate. Tradetron’s report counts 81 days in the period; the other three, 26 June, 14 September and 2 October, were market holidays that show no profit or loss. Together that gives a profit factor of 2.26, or ₹2.26 earned for every ₹1 lost.

The typical day is small. The median day made ₹123, and the five best days account for 42% of all the profit made on winning days. The best single day, Tuesday 29 September, made ₹4,218, which is 6% of capital and equal to about 32% of the whole net result. The longest winning streak was 13 days and the longest losing streak four. Activity is steady: 353 fills, about 4.5 on a trading day.

The hard part: drawdowns

The worst fall was 2.33%. Equity peaked on 16 September with about ₹11,930 of profit banked, then dropped ₹1,906 to a low on 24 September, six trading days later. One evening repaired it: the ₹4,218 gain on 29 September took the account straight to a new high, so the whole episode lasted eight trading days.

#Depth% of peakStartedLow pointLengthStatus
1−₹1,906−2.3%17 Sep 202624 Sep 20268 daysRecovered
2−₹1,817−2.1%30 Sep 20265 Oct 20265 daysOngoing
3−₹1,621−2.3%6 Jul 202621 Jul 202618 daysRecovered
4−₹1,000−1.4%17 Jun 202617 Jun 20266 daysRecovered
5−₹917−1.2%13 Aug 202617 Aug 20269 daysRecovered

Four of the five have recovered. The second is the current one: the account is ₹1,537 below its 29 September peak, five trading days into the dip. The longest wait came early. From 6 July the account spent 18 trading days below its previous high, and with only about ₹1,830 of profit banked at that point, the ₹1,621 fall took back almost 90% of it before the recovery began.

Bad days have been small on ₹70,000. One day in twenty has lost ₹732 or more, and the worst 5% of days averaged an ₹861 loss. The worst single day, Wednesday 17 June, was the deployment’s second session: it lost ₹1,000, which is 1.4% of capital and 2.6 times the average losing day.

Return per unit of risk

The risk-adjusted ratios are high, all computed net of costs on daily marked-to-market P&L. They also rest on 81 days of data, which is a short window for ratios like these.

RatioValueWhat it says
Sharpe (annualised)3.8Return per unit of total volatility
Sortino (annualised)9.44Return per unit of downside volatility only
Calmar32.45Annualised return divided by the worst drawdown
Profit factor2.26₹2.26 earned for every ₹1 lost
Recovery factor6.99Net profit is about 7 times the worst drawdown
Volatility (annualised)15.56%How much daily results swing, scaled to a year
Probability the edge is real99%Tradetron’s estimate that the result is not chance

Tradetron annualises the result to a 75.5% CAGR. That figure stretches 113 days into a full year, so read it as the pace so far, not a forecast. The Calmar ratio of 32.45 divides that annualised number by a 2.33% drawdown, so it is flattered twice: by a short record and by a worst fall that has so far been mild.

Mini and full size, side by side

The full-size 529 Crude Oil strategy has an eleven-month record on ₹7,00,000. Here are the two reports next to each other, both as on 7 October 2026.

529 Crude Oil Mini529 Crude Oil
Margin₹70,000₹7,00,000
Record16 Jun to 6 Oct 20264 Nov 2025 to 1 Oct 2026
Trading days with a result78182
Net P&L₹13,316 (19.02%)₹2,50,198 (35.74%)
Average month (Tradetron)3.8%3%
Worst drawdown2.33%5.18%
Worst single day−1.4% of capital−3.6% of capital
Winning days64.1%63.2%
Profit factor2.261.95
Sharpe (annualised)3.83.37

Between 16 June and 1 October there were 61 evenings on which both deployments traded. On the 57 of those where both had a result, they finished on the same side of zero 53 times. Their biggest days line up as well: 4 August and 29 September were strong for both, and 17 July and 24 September were among the worst for both. That is what you would expect from one logic run at two sizes.

The amounts do not move in exact proportion, though. Across those 61 evenings the mini made about 21% on its ₹70,000 and the full-size deployment about 12% on its ₹7,00,000. These day-by-day comparisons are read off the equity curves in the two reports, so treat them as close estimates.

The longer record is the better guide to the bad days. The full-size version’s worst day cost 3.6% of capital and its worst drawdown was 5.18%, both more than double anything the mini has shown in its first four months.

What “net of costs” covers

Charges took 8% of gross profit. The strategy made ₹14,495 before costs; estimated statutory and exchange charges of ₹1,179 leave the ₹13,316 reported throughout this post.

Where ₹14,495 of gross profit went
Kept: ₹13,316 (92%)
Charges: ₹1,179 (8%)

Those charges are priced fill by fill on ₹13.74 lakh of turnover, about ₹3.37 a fill, at the MCX commodity-options rates:

  • Exchange fee: 0.05% of turnover
  • CTT: 0.05% on the sell side
  • Stamp duty: 0.003% on the buy side

What this record does not prove

Under four months of live results is evidence, not proof. Five limits are worth stating plainly:

  • It is a short record in one market. 78 trading days in MCX Crude Oil Mini options, from one deployment. Tradetron’s 12-month rolling statistics unlock only after 13 months of history.
  • One evening carries a lot. 29 September made ₹4,218, about 32% of the net result. With 4 August, two evenings account for about half of it.
  • Two months did most of the work. August and September produced about 90% of the net profit; the first seven weeks added 3.7%.
  • It is below its peak right now. The account is ₹1,537 under its 29 September high, and October is negative so far.
  • It sells volatility. Short-volatility strategies can lose quickly when a market moves sharply. The mini’s worst day so far is 1.4% of capital; the full-size version has had a 3.6% day.

Tradetron’s report shows no major red flags on the data so far.

See it live

The strategy is listed publicly on the Tradetron marketplace, and its live trades can be checked independently.

Strategy page529 Crudeoil Mini Intraday options evening NRML universal exit 2320
Live trade share codeshare-live-trade-30061002
ExchangeMCX
SessionEvening session, intraday
Margin in this report₹70,000
Subscribers9

The figures in this post are before any subscription fee or platform plan costs of your own. Trading with larger capital? The 529 Crude Oil report covers the full-size version on ₹7,00,000.

Risk disclosure

We are not SEBI-registered research analysts. This post reports the past performance of one live deployment and is not investment advice or a recommendation to trade. Past performance does not indicate future results. Commodity options trading uses leverage and can lose more quickly than it gains; trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and consult a registered adviser if you are unsure.

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